Гришин Д.В. Ресурсный фактор в производственной функции Казахстана: обзор литературы и исследовательские вызовы

Научная статья
УДК 338.27:330.354
https://doi.org/10.24158/tipor.2026.5.24
 
Ресурсный фактор в производственной функции Казахстана:
обзор литературы и исследовательские вызовы
 
Данил Витальевич Гришин
Дальневосточный федеральный университет, Владивосток, Россия,
grishin.dv@dvfu.ru, https://orcid.org/0009-0004-1834-3535
 
Аннотация. В статье представлен обзор литературы по вопросу включения природно-ресурсного фактора в производственную функцию применительно к задаче оценки потенциального выпуска. Отправная точка обзора – работы К. Гамильтона, Э. Найкал, Г.-М. Ланге и Н. Брандт, П. Шрейера, В. Зипперер, в которых впервые системно показана измеримость смещения оценок совокупной факторной производительности при игнорировании природного ресурса. Исторический экскурс охватывает эволюцию концепции от остатка Р.М. Солоу через модели С. Дасгупты – В. Хилла – Р.М. Солоу – Дж. Стиглица и правило Дж. Хартвика до современных DSGE-моделей. Анализируется методологический разрыв между практикой ведущих международных организаций (Организация экономического сотрудничества и развития, Мировой валютный фонд, Европейская комиссия), применяющих двухфакторную производственную функцию, и требованиями корректного учета источников роста в ресурсозависимых экономиках. Рассмотрены прикладные исследования для России и других сопоставимых экономик. На основании обзора литературы идентифицированы ключевые методологические вызовы, актуальные для Казахстана применительно к задаче оценки потенциального выпуска. Была осуществлена их предварительная эмпирическая верификация.
Ключевые слова: потенциальный выпуск, природный капитал, ресурсная рента, совокупная факторная производительность, производственная функция Кобба – Дугласа, Казахстан, ресурсозависимая экономика
Финансирование: инициативная работа.
Для цитирования: Гришин Д.В. Ресурсный фактор в производственной функции Казахстана: обзор литературы и исследовательские вызовы // Теория и практика общественного развития. 2026. № 5. С. 214–225. https://doi.org/10.24158/tipor.2026.5.24.
 
Original article
 
The Resource Factor in the Production Function of the Republic of Kazakhstan:
A Literature Review and Research Challenges
 
Danil V. Grishin
Far Eastern Federal University, Vladivostok, Russia,
grishin.dv@dvfu.ru, https://orcid.org/0009-0004-1834-3535
 
Abstract. The article presents a literature review on the inclusion of the natural resource factor in the production function, specifically in the context of estimating potential output. It begins with the overview of papers by K. Hamilton, E. Naikal, G.-M. Lange and N. Brandt, P. Schreyer, W. Zipperer, who were the first to systematically demonstrate the measurability of the bias in total factor productivity estimates when ignoring the factor of natural resources. A historical overview traces the evolution of the concept – from the Solow residual through the models of S. Dasgupta – W. Hill – R.M. Solow – J. Stiglitz and J. Hartwick’s rule – to modern Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models. The paper discusses the methodological gap between the practices of leading international organizations (the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, the International Monetary Fund, and the European Commission) that apply a two-factor production function, and the need for proper accounting for growth sources in resource-dependent economies. Applied studies are reviewed for Russia and other comparable economies. Based on the literature review, key methodological challenges relevant to Kazakhstan in the context of estimating potential output are identified, and their preliminary empirical verification is conducted.
Keywords: potential output, natural capital, resource rent, total factor productivity, Cobb – Douglas production function, Kazakhstan, resource-dependent economy
Funding: Independent work.
For citation: Grishin, D.V. (2026) The Resource Factor in the Production Function of the Republic of Kazakhstan: A Literature Review and Research Challenges. Theory and Practice of Social Development. (5), 214–225. Available from: doi:10.24158/tipor.2026.5.24 (In Russian).

© Гришин Д.В., 2026

Списокисточников:
 
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References:
 
Aghion, P. & Howitt, P. (1992) A Model of Growth Through Creative Destruction. Econometrica. 60 (2), 323–351. Available from: doi:10.2307/2951599.
Alpysbaeva, S.N., Shuneev, Sh.Zh., Bakdolotova, A.A., Beisengazin, K.S., Tautenova, E.I. & Zhanakova, N.N. (2022) Forecast of the Long-Term Trajectory of the Potential GDP of Kazakhstan in the Context of the Global Energy Transition. Studies on Russian Economic Development. 33 (5), 561–570. Available from: doi:10.1134/s1075700722050033.
Bentolila, S. & Saint-Paul, G. (2003) Explaining Movements in the Labor Share. Contributions to Macroeconomics. 3 (1), 1–33. Available from: doi:10.2202/1534-6005.1103.
Brandt, N., Schreyer, P. & Zipperer, V. (2017) Productivity Measurement with Natural Capital. Review of Income and Wealth. 63 (1), S7–S21. Available from: doi:10.1111/roiw.12247.
Cárdenas Rodríguez, M., Haščič, I. & Souchier, M. (2018) Environmentally Adjusted Multifactor Productivity: Methodology and Empirical Results for OECD and G20 Countries. Ecological Economics. 153, 147–160. Available from: doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2018.06.015.
Cobb, C.W. & Douglas, P.H. (1928) A Theory of Production. The American Economic Review. 18 (1), 139–165.
Dasgupta, P. & Heal, G. (1974) The Optimal Depletion of Exhaustible Resources. The Review of Economic Studies. 41, 3–28. Available from: doi:10.2307/2296369.
Hamilton, J.D. (2018) Why You Should Never Use the Hodrick-Prescott Filter. Review of Economics and Statistics. 100 (5), 831–843. Available from: doi:10.1162/rest_a_00706.
Hartwick, J.M. Intergenerational Equity and the Investing of Rents from Exhaustible Resources. The American Economic Review. 67 (5), 972–974. Available from: doi:10.4324/9781315240084-4.
Hasanli, Y., Musayev, T., Rahimli, G. & Ismayilova, S. (2021) Assessment of CES Function Parameters in Oil-Rich CIS Countries. Universal Journal of Accounting and Finance. 9 (2), 262–266. Available from: doi:10.13189/ujaf.2021.090216.
Hodrick, R.J. & Prescott, E.C. (1997) Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking. 29 (1), 1–16. Available from: doi:10.2307/2953682.
Kaitila, V. (2016) GDP Growth in Russia: Different Capital Stock Series and the Terms of Trade. Post-Communist Economies. 28 (2), 196–210. Available from: doi:10.1080/14631377.2015.1124556.
Maris, R. & Holmes, M. (2023) Economic Growth Theory and Natural Resource Constraints: A Stocktake and Critical Assessment. The Australian Economic Review. 56 (2), 255–268. Available from: doi:10.1111/1467-8462.12505.
Ravn, M.O. & Uhlig, H. (2002) On Adjusting the Hodrick-Prescott Filter for the Frequency of Observations. Review of Economics and Statistics. 84, 371–376. Available from: doi:10.1162/003465302317411604.
Romer, P.M. (1990) Endogenous Technological Change. Journal of Political Economy. 98 (5), 71–102. Available from: doi:10.1086/261725.
Solow, R.M. (1957) Technical Change and the Aggregate Production Function. The Review of Economics and Statistics. 39 (3), 312–320. Available from: doi:10.2307/1926047.
Solow, R.M. (1974) Intergenerational Equity and Exhaustible Resources. The Review of Economic Studies. 41, 29–45. Available from: doi:10.2307/2296370.
Stiglitz, J. (1974) Growth with Exhaustible Natural Resources: Efficient and Optimal Growth Paths. The Review of Economic Studies. 41, 123–137. Available from: doi:10.2307/2296377.